Early pandemic associations of latitude, sunshine duration, and vitamin D status with COVID-19 incidence and fatalities: A global analysis of 187 Countries

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dc.contributor.advisor
dc.contributor.author Reagan M Mogire
dc.date.accessioned 2026-03-30T08:45:56Z
dc.date.available 2026-03-30T08:45:56Z
dc.date.issued 2025-07
dc.identifier.uri https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0004074
dc.identifier.uri
dc.description.abstract In the face of the COVID-19 pandemic, understanding the interplay between environmental factors and virus spread is crucial for global preparedness strategies. This study explores how geographic latitude, sunshine duration, and vitamin D status were associated with the incidence and fatality rates of COVID-19 across 187 countries during the crucial early months of the outbreak. Data on the total number of COVID-19 cases by country were obtained from the COVID-19 Data Repository by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) as of June 30, 2020. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were conducted to determine the associations between COVID-19 cases and latitude, average hours of sunshine from January to June, and mean 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels. The average COVID-19 cumulative incidence and mortality per million population were 2,087 and 69, respectively, with a case fatality rate of 3.19%. COVID-19 case fatality rate was positively associated with latitude (β = 0.030; 95% CI: 0.008, 0.052) and negatively associated with hours of sunshine (β = -1.51; 95% CI: -4.44, 1.41) and 25(OH)D levels (β = -0.054; 95% CI: -0.089, -0.019) in adjusted linear regression analyses. Findings were similar for COVID-19 cumulative incidence and mortality rate. These findings indicate that higher latitude and lower 25(OH)D levels were associated with increased COVID-19 severity and mortality. While the data highlight potential links between vitamin D status and COVID-19 outcomes, causality cannot be inferred. en_US
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher PLOS Global Public Health
dc.title Early pandemic associations of latitude, sunshine duration, and vitamin D status with COVID-19 incidence and fatalities: A global analysis of 187 Countries en_US
dc.type Article en_US


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